Liquidity & Technical
Figures converted from KRW at historical FX rates — see data/company.json.fx_rates. Ratios, margins, and multiples are unitless and unchanged.
Liquidity & Technical
SKC is institutionally tradable for mid-size funds, but execution risk is elevated — average daily volume of $77.6M supports 0.5–1% market-cap positions cleared in 2–5 days, while 2% positions need a full trading week. The tape is bullish on a 1–3 month horizon but flashes a volatility warning — price has rallied 75% in the last month, cleared the 200-day SMA by 49%, and is rising on accelerating volume, yet 30-day realized volatility just printed 117%, the highest in a decade. The most important tape feature is the rejection of the 2026-04-02 death cross by a parabolic move that has the 50d SMA about to re-cross above the 200d.
1. Portfolio implementation verdict
5-Day Capacity @ 20% ADV ($M)
Max Issuer Position in 5d (% mcap)
Supported Fund AUM (5% wt, $M)
ADV 20d / Market Cap
Technical Score (-3 to +3)
Tradable, but size-aware and volatility-aware. Liquidity supports funds up to roughly $1.8B at a 5% weight via 20% ADV participation over five days, and a 0.5–1% issuer position clears in 2–5 days. The constraint is not size — it is the 4.2% median daily range and 117% realized volatility, which mean any builder must scale in over weeks, not days, and budget for 6–8% adverse marks intra-build.
2. Price snapshot
Current Price ($)
YTD Return
1-Year Return
52-Week Position
Beta (10y, vs SPY proxy)
3. The critical chart — 10-year price with 50/200 SMA
Price is 49.5% above the 200-day SMA. This is an uptrend, not a regime in transition.
Most recent 50/200 cross was a death cross on 2026-04-02 — but the cross has already been overrun. Price has rallied from ~$58 (March low) to $108.73 in roughly six weeks, and the 50d SMA ($73.58) sits within $0.22 of the 200d SMA ($73.80). A reverse golden cross is imminent if price holds.
The 10-year arc is a textbook three-act story: a slow base from 2016–2020 around $25–45, the EV-battery / SK-nexilis re-rating that took shares to an all-time high of roughly $190 in late 2021 (in then-prevailing FX), then a 60% drawdown into the 2024–2025 trough as net losses, copper-foil oversupply, and rising rates compressed the multiple. The current move is the strongest re-test of the post-2021 down-channel since the rally peaked.
4. Relative strength
A like-for-like benchmark line was not loadable for KRX 011790 in this run. Read the chart as the company's own absolute price path, rebased — not as relative strength versus a market or sector index. The shape is what matters: three rallies to ≥130 (2024-Q2, 2025-Q1, and the current move to 148) separated by sharp 30–40% drawdowns. The current rally is steeper and higher than either prior leg, suggesting a regime shift rather than another mean-reverting bounce.
5. Momentum — RSI and MACD
Momentum is positive but stretched. RSI(14) sits at 70 after a vertical move from sub-40 in early April; MACD histogram is at multi-quarter highs.
The two indicators tell a consistent story. RSI failures earlier in 2025 (overbought reversals at 73 in Jan-25 and 74 in Oct-25) preceded sharp drawdowns; the current 70 print is therefore a yellow flag for the 1–2 week window. But the MACD histogram has just made a new 18-month high ($3.86), and the line/signal spread ($9.67 vs $5.81) is widening, not narrowing — that is the signal you would want to see if the move has further to run. The bullish read holds; the warning is that adding here means accepting a non-trivial probability of a 5–10% pullback to $99–$102 in the very near term.
6. Volume, sponsorship, and volatility regime
Volume confirms the rally; volatility regime is at a 10-year extreme. The 20-day average daily share volume (828K) is 82% above the 60-day average (456K) — institutions are present, not just absent retail.
The current 117% realized vol is the highest in the 10-year history we have (10y bands: p20 = 31%, p50 = 40%, p80 = 59%). For comparison: the 2021-Q4 bubble peak printed 79%, the 2024-Q2 EV-battery rally peaked at 80%, and the 2025-Q1 squeeze top hit 88%. We are 33–48 points above any prior regime peak. This means a buy-and-hold position is being marked at vol levels typically associated with crisis-driven blow-offs, not orderly trends.
7. Institutional liquidity panel
This panel is for buy-side firms. The tape question is "is something happening?"; this section answers "can my fund trade it?"
A. ADV and turnover
ADV 20d (shares)
ADV 20d ($M)
ADV 60d (shares)
ADV / Mkt Cap
Annual Turnover
ADV 20d is 82% above ADV 60d — recent volume is a regime acceleration, not a blip. Annual turnover of roughly 547% (5.5x float traded each year) places SKC firmly in the high-velocity quartile of Korean mid-caps; this is typical for a stock with a heavy retail base and an active EV-battery / glass-substrate thesis.
B. Fund-capacity table
Read this as: a fund of $1.8B AUM can build a 5% position by trading 20% of ADV for five sessions; cut participation in half (10% ADV) and the same 5% position is only viable for a $0.9B fund. A concentrated US/UK fund managing $4B+ should treat SKC as a 1–2% weight at most.
C. Liquidation runway
D. Execution friction
The 60-day median daily range is 4.21% — well above the 2% threshold for "low-friction" execution. Combined with 117% realized vol, this means even a passive 10%-ADV builder should expect 30–50 basis points of slippage per session in normal liquidity, more during squeeze episodes. The largest issuer-level position that clears in five trading days is 2.19% of market cap at 20% ADV and 1.09% at 10% ADV.
8. Technical scorecard and stance
Net technical score: +3.
Stance — tape regime is bullish on a 3-to-6 month horizon
The tape reads as a regime change, not a one-off bounce — price has cleared the 200-day SMA decisively, the 50d is about to re-cross above the 200d, MACD is at multi-quarter highs, and volume confirms. The fundamentals tab flagged FY2025 net losses and balance-sheet strain; price action diverges from that read, consistent with the market pricing ISC test-socket and Absolics glass-substrate optionality plus the SK enpulse divestiture ahead of the income statement turning. Largest execution risk: 117% realized vol and a 4.2% daily range mean any builder needs to scale over 3–5 weeks rather than days, and a 15–20% retracement to $92–$95 would be a normal pause within the bullish setup rather than its invalidation.
Bullish confirmation: a weekly close above $125 (52-week high). A close above this level on rising volume opens the prior 2021 all-time-high zone of $135–$141 as the next reference.
Bearish invalidation: a weekly close below $73 (200-day SMA). Re-entering the sub-200d regime would re-impose the 2024–2025 down-channel and re-engage the most recent death cross.
Liquidity is not the constraint for funds up to roughly $1.8B at a 5% position with 20% ADV participation; larger funds should treat this as 1–2% weight or watchlist-only. The binding constraint is volatility — any builder here needs to scale over 3–5 weeks, not all-in.